Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.947290 3.467118 4.020325 4.649704 5.342727 6.079523 6.919016
2025-01-19 2.099409 2.790893 3.584554 4.549039 5.675790 6.937582 8.444391
2025-01-26 1.606382 2.397787 3.370969 4.622346 6.156140 7.944207 10.155292
2025-02-02 1.254792 2.097188 3.202488 4.696972 6.604930 8.903457 11.825339
2025-02-09 0.928852 1.757828 2.922770 4.579191 6.778252 9.509459 13.069023
2025-02-16 0.686591 1.480977 2.677466 4.462650 6.919347 10.054438 14.229845
2025-02-23 0.532406 1.303014 2.540670 4.467145 7.200264 10.767038 15.601235
2025-03-02 0.395318 1.117200 2.360679 4.383068 7.341122 11.286777 16.725024
2025-03-09 0.334164 1.056157 2.366496 4.565399 7.850280 12.297345 18.495812
2025-03-16 0.257263 0.939935 2.261971 4.564839 8.090392 12.944638 19.796570
2025-03-23 0.225120 0.913497 2.308064 4.798643 8.673085 14.065971 21.739497
2025-03-30 0.192574 0.875980 2.327596 4.986701 9.189922 15.103425 23.583937
2025-04-06 0.152731 0.807358 2.283246 5.071490 9.563410 15.963019 25.224667
2025-04-13 0.109305 0.707582 2.162705 5.016897 9.720001 16.519614 26.464347
2025-04-20 0.085591 0.657792 2.136064 5.119840 10.119713 17.426617 28.195263
2025-04-27 0.065870 0.610123 2.105865 5.211386 10.500434 18.309803 29.902559
2025-05-04 0.041484 0.520753 1.965893 5.090264 10.533601 18.685445 30.906726
2025-05-11 0.024350 0.441691 1.832770 4.967437 10.553420 19.035585 31.874171
2025-05-18 0.015415 0.395086 1.770579 4.973395 10.781092 19.693274 33.280125
2025-05-25 0.007886 0.337349 1.665279 4.883466 10.841266 20.097477 34.327402
2025-06-01 0.005932 0.330065 1.700556 5.079815 11.391069 21.247409 36.452893
2025-06-08 0.002944 0.293994 1.643295 5.079327 11.600992 21.882442 37.844115
2025-06-15 0.002321 0.296069 1.704069 5.330599 12.252565 23.200668 40.234159